Tennis · M15 Trois-Rivieres · 04/11, 16:00
Prediction: Rodrigo Fernandes vs Lucas Hammond
Team pages: Rodrigo Fernandes · Lucas Hammond
Prediction summary
Winner
Rodrigo Fernandes
Lucas Hammond
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Rodrigo Fernandes
9-1 (W-L)
Lucas Hammond
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rodrigo Fernandes 1592 · Lucas Hammond 1521
| Rodrigo Fernandes | Lucas Hammond | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rodrigo Fernandes (rating 1592 vs 1521).
- Rodrigo Fernandes is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Lucas Hammond makes many double faults (7.6/match).
Statistics
| Rodrigo Fernandes | Lucas Hammond | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-6.1 | 13.2-10.9 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 7.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 58.5% | 60% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodrigo Fernandes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Jack Anthrop M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/10 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Nicolas Arseneault M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 22/10 | Mikael Arseneault M15 Ithaca |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Eric David Verdes M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Eric David Verdes UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Gregory Bernadsky UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/10 | Brendan McDonald UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/09 | Nicola Ion UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Rushil Khosla UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Lucas Hammond
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Matthew Michibata M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Alessandro-D Ventre UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/10 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/10 | Gabriel Jessup UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Luka Vukovic UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/10 | Daniel Jankoski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 12/10 | Liam Oliver UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/08 | Alexander Kotarski UTR Pro Boise · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/08 | Brayden Tallakson UTR Pro Boise · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/08 | Sep De Visser UTR Pro Boise · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodrigo Fernandes vs Lucas Hammond?
Our model gives 77% to Rodrigo Fernandes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.