Tennis · M25 Harlingen · 03/11, 18:30
Prediction: Erik Schiessl vs August Brostroem Poulsen
Team pages: Erik Schiessl · August Brostroem Poulsen
Prediction summary
Winner
Erik Schiessl
August Brostroem Poulsen
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Erik Schiessl
8-2 (W-L)
August Brostroem Poulsen
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Erik Schiessl 1616 · August Brostroem Poulsen 1463
| Erik Schiessl | August Brostroem Poulsen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Erik Schiessl (rating 1616 vs 1463).
- Erik Schiessl is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: August Brostroem Poulsen makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Erik Schiessl | August Brostroem Poulsen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (6) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-6.3 | 10.9-11.6 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 9.5 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 78.2% | 77.1% |
| Break % | 56.4% | 26.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Erik Schiessl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Louis Bowden UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 05/09 | Radek Chodora UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Cyrus Ahmad UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Arenui Luethi UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Enzo Tafarelo Vargas UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Ziga Sesko M15 Wels |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Marlon Vankan M15 Wels |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Adam Jilly M15 Wels |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Alex Huszar M15 Wels |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
August Brostroem Poulsen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Felix Bockelmann Evans UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 23/10 | Brett Gloria UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Thomas Van Den Dooren UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/10 | Niksa Arsic UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/10 | William McEwan UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Samuel Agbesi Osei Antwi UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Tomas Jirousek UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/09 | William McEwan UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Agustin Salazar UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Erik Schiessl vs August Brostroem Poulsen?
Our model gives 79% to Erik Schiessl, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.