Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 03/11, 22:00
Prediction: Alexis Galarneau vs Daniel Milavsky
Team pages: Alexis Galarneau · Daniel Milavsky
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexis Galarneau
Daniel Milavsky
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alexis Galarneau
4-6 (W-L)
Daniel Milavsky
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexis Galarneau
2–0
Daniel Milavsky
(2 last)
- 10 Jul2-0 12-5W
- 13 Feb2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexis Galarneau 1454 · Daniel Milavsky 1506
| Alexis Galarneau | Daniel Milavsky | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Milavsky (rating 1454 vs 1506).
- Head-to-head: Alexis Galarneau 2–0 Daniel Milavsky (2).
Statistics
| Alexis Galarneau | Daniel Milavsky | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-12.2 | 12.4-12.2 |
| Aces | 4 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 34.9% | 30.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Alexis Galarneau 2 – 0 Daniel Milavsky (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexis Galarneau 2–0 Daniel Milavsky
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/26 Challenger Newport | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/02/26 Challenger Baton Rouge | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexis Galarneau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Roman Safiullin ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Lloyd Harris ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Elias Ymer ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Linang Xiao Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Semen Pankin Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Daniel Milavsky
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/11 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/10 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/10 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Govind Nanda Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexis Galarneau vs Daniel Milavsky?
Our model gives 58% to Daniel Milavsky, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.