Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 04/11, 05:00
Prediction: Yakumo Motokura vs Seiya Nakanishi
Team pages: Yakumo Motokura · Seiya Nakanishi
Prediction summary
Winner
Yakumo Motokura
Seiya Nakanishi
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Yakumo Motokura
7-3 (W-L)
Seiya Nakanishi
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yakumo Motokura
1–0
Seiya Nakanishi
(1 last)
- 03 Oct2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yakumo Motokura 1478 · Seiya Nakanishi 1471
| Yakumo Motokura | Seiya Nakanishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Yakumo Motokura 1–0 Seiya Nakanishi (1).
Statistics
| Yakumo Motokura | Seiya Nakanishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.1 | 9.8-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 29% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Yakumo Motokura 1 – 0 Seiya Nakanishi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yakumo Motokura 1–0 Seiya Nakanishi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/26 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yakumo Motokura
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Julian Messina UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 03/10 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Tomoki Fujiwara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 01/10 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/09 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/09 | Mao Takada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Ke Hau Hung UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Seiya Nakanishi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Julian Messina UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/10 | Kosuke Shibano M15 Yanagawa City |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Chikaya Sato M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 03/10 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Stefan Menichella UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yakumo Motokura vs Seiya Nakanishi?
Our model gives 58% to Yakumo Motokura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.