Tennis · Challenger Villa Maria · 04/11, 14:00
Prediction: Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Team pages: Lucio Ratti · Carlos Maria Zarate
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucio Ratti
Carlos Maria Zarate
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lucio Ratti
4-6 (W-L)
Carlos Maria Zarate
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucio Ratti
1–2
Carlos Maria Zarate
(3 last)
- 03 May0-2 4-12L
- 22 Oct1-2 13-17L
- 26 Jul2-1 16-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucio Ratti 1491 · Carlos Maria Zarate 1542
| Lucio Ratti | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Maria Zarate (rating 1491 vs 1542).
- Head-to-head: Lucio Ratti 1–2 Carlos Maria Zarate (3).
- Note: Lucio Ratti makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Lucio Ratti | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-13.6 | 10-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 64% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Lucio Ratti 1 – 2 Carlos Maria Zarate (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucio Ratti 1–2 Carlos Maria Zarate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 M25 Lujan | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/10/25 ITF M15 Santiago | 1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/07/25 ITF M15 Santiago | 2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucio Ratti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 27/10 | Mateo Del Pino Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 25/10 | Alessandro Rubini Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/10 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 05/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 04/10 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Coria Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 06/09 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Meerbusch |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Carlos Maria Zarate
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/10 | Alan Magadan Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Franco Ribero Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Our model gives 54% to Carlos Maria Zarate, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.