Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 03/11, 16:00
Prediction: Stefan Kozlov vs Andres Martin
Team pages: Stefan Kozlov · Andres Martin
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefan Kozlov
Andres Martin
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Kozlov
4-6 (W-L)
Andres Martin
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stefan Kozlov
0–1
Andres Martin
(1 last)
- 24 Mar0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Kozlov 1415 · Andres Martin 1457
| Stefan Kozlov | Andres Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andres Martin (rating 1415 vs 1457).
- Head-to-head: Stefan Kozlov 0–1 Andres Martin (1).
Statistics
| Stefan Kozlov | Andres Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-12.7 | 12.5-12.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Stefan Kozlov 0 – 1 Andres Martin (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefan Kozlov 0–1 Andres Martin
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/26 Challenger Morelia | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Kozlov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 29/09 | James Trotter Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Colton Smith Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Zachary Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Andres Martin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Stiles Brockett Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/10 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Keaton Hance Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Kozlov vs Andres Martin?
Our model gives 55% to Andres Martin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.