Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 03/11, 19:00
Prediction: Andrew Fenty vs Darwin Blanch
Team pages: Andrew Fenty · Darwin Blanch
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrew Fenty
Darwin Blanch
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Andrew Fenty
7-3 (W-L)
Darwin Blanch
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrew Fenty 1532 · Darwin Blanch 1586
| Andrew Fenty | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Darwin Blanch (rating 1532 vs 1586).
- Darwin Blanch dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 46.4% break avg.
- Note: Andrew Fenty makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Andrew Fenty | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.8 | 11.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 8.4 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 75% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrew Fenty
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/11 | Karl Poling Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/10 | Timo Legout Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/10 | Cooper Woestendick Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Lui Maxted M25 Austin |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 15/10 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Michael Antonius M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Darwin Blanch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Liam Draxl Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 30/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 28/10 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Jenson Brooksby Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrew Fenty vs Darwin Blanch?
Our model gives 69% to Darwin Blanch, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.