Tennis · Challenger Villa Maria · 03/11, 23:00
Prediction: Federico Coria vs Ivan Dreycopp
Team pages: Federico Coria · Ivan Dreycopp
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Coria
Ivan Dreycopp
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Coria
1-9 (W-L)
Ivan Dreycopp
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Coria 1397 · Ivan Dreycopp 1558
| Federico Coria | Ivan Dreycopp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ivan Dreycopp (rating 1397 vs 1558).
- Ivan Dreycopp is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Federico Coria | Ivan Dreycopp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 13% (8) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-1.9 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-12.9 | 13.5-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Coria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 25/08 | Clement Chidekh US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Francesco Forti Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Ivan Dreycopp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/11 | Fermin Tenti Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Alex Hernandez M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Matteo Covato M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 14/10 | Valentino Grippo M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Jose Luis Claro M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Juan Sebastian Gomez M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Trelew |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Benjamin Torrealba M15 Trelew |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Vicente Jose Benitez M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Coria vs Ivan Dreycopp?
Our model gives 52% to Federico Coria, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.