Tennis · Challenger Villa Maria · 03/11, 15:30
Prediction: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Mateo Del Pino
Team pages: Juan Manuel La Serna · Mateo Del Pino
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Manuel La Serna
Mateo Del Pino
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel La Serna
5-5 (W-L)
Mateo Del Pino
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Manuel La Serna
3–0
Mateo Del Pino
(3 last)
- 01 Feb2-0 13-9W
- 19 Mar2-0 12-5W
- 06 Feb2-1 20-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel La Serna 1519 · Mateo Del Pino 1483
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Mateo Del Pino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Juan Manuel La Serna 3–0 Mateo Del Pino (3).
- Note: Mateo Del Pino makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Mateo Del Pino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12.2 | 8.6-12 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 55.4% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 58.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Juan Manuel La Serna 3 – 0 Mateo Del Pino (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Manuel La Serna 3–0 Mateo Del Pino
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Challenger Rosario | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/03/25 ITF M15 Villa Maria | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/02/24 ITF M25 Punta del Este | 2-1 | 20-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel La Serna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 23/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/10 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Mateo Del Pino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/11 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 18/10 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Valentino Grippo M15 Trelew |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Felipe De Dios M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel La Serna vs Mateo Del Pino?
Our model gives 74% to Juan Manuel La Serna, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.