Tennis · Challenger Villa Maria · 03/11, 14:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Ryan Nijboer
Team pages: Lorenzo Gagliardo · Ryan Nijboer
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Gagliardo
Ryan Nijboer
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Gagliardo
6-4 (W-L)
Ryan Nijboer
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Gagliardo 1560 · Ryan Nijboer 1528
| Lorenzo Gagliardo | Ryan Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Gagliardo | Ryan Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-7.4 | 12.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 0.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 70% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Gagliardo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Ian Vertberger Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/11 | Tadeo Meneo Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/10 | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity M15 Joao Pessoa |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Bruno Rodrigues M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/10 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Rocco Valente UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/10 | Lautaro Rocha UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Ryan Nijboer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 11/10 | Javier Barranco Cosano Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Nico Hipfl Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 03/10 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Nicolas Ifi M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 01/10 | Pierre Delage M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Ryan Nijboer?
Our model gives 56% to Ryan Nijboer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.