Tennis · Challenger Villa Maria · 03/11, 15:30
Prediction: Juan Estevez vs Ryo Tabata
Team pages: Juan Estevez · Ryo Tabata
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Estevez
Ryo Tabata
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Estevez
2-8 (W-L)
Ryo Tabata
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Estevez 1414 · Ryo Tabata 1512
| Juan Estevez | Ryo Tabata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryo Tabata (rating 1414 vs 1512).
- Ryo Tabata is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Juan Estevez | Ryo Tabata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 13% (8) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-13.4 | 10.9-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 34.4% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Estevez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Nico Hipfl M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 12/08 | Alex Bergomi M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Ryo Tabata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 01/11 | Rocco Valente Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Jannik Opitz M25 Slobozia |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 29/09 | Gabriel Ghetu M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Adrian Andreev M25 Zlatibor |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Zlatibor |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Astana |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 04/08 | Danial Rakhmatullayev M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Amir Omarkhanov M15 Astana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Estevez vs Ryo Tabata?
Our model gives 52% to Juan Estevez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.