Tennis · UTR Pro Fayetteville · 04/11, 19:30
Prediction: Mohammad Alkotop vs Bautista Leguizamon
Team pages: Mohammad Alkotop · Bautista Leguizamon
Prediction summary
Winner
Mohammad Alkotop
Bautista Leguizamon
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mohammad Alkotop
8-2 (W-L)
Bautista Leguizamon
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mohammad Alkotop 1526 · Bautista Leguizamon 1483
| Mohammad Alkotop | Bautista Leguizamon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mohammad Alkotop (rating 1526 vs 1483).
Statistics
| Mohammad Alkotop | Bautista Leguizamon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.5 | 8.9-11 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 28.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mohammad Alkotop
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Francisco Jose Perez Esnaola UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/11 | Timothee Andriveau UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Asian Games |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Ali Yazdani Davis Cup |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Bill Chan Davis Cup |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Nischal Spurling UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/12 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 05/12 | Erik Schiessl UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 04/12 | William Nolan UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/12 | Lucca C Pignaton UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Bautista Leguizamon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Lukas Palovic UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Ludovico Vaccari UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Luciano Larosa UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Imran Daniel Abdul Hazli UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Gray Voelzke UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 20/10 | Thiago Guglieri UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Andres Medus UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Juan Bautista Otegui UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Francisco Jose Gay UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mohammad Alkotop vs Bautista Leguizamon?
Our model gives 66% to Mohammad Alkotop, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.