Tennis · UTR Pro Fayetteville · 05/11, 17:00
Prediction: Francisco Jose Perez Esnaola vs Lukas Palovic
Team pages: Francisco Jose Perez Esnaola · Lukas Palovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisco Jose Perez Esnaola
Lukas Palovic
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Francisco Jose Perez Esnaola
2-8 (W-L)
Lukas Palovic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisco Jose Perez Esnaola 1404 · Lukas Palovic 1533
| Francisco Jose Perez Esnaola | Lukas Palovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lukas Palovic (rating 1404 vs 1533).
- Lukas Palovic is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Francisco Jose Perez Esnaola | Lukas Palovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.5-12 | 11.6-9 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 58.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisco Jose Perez Esnaola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Timothee Andriveau UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Mohammad Alkotop UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Harrison Kemp UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Salvador Price UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/04 | Jon Gamble UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/04 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/03 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani UTR Pro Moraga · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 19/03 | Bastien Maxant UTR Pro Moraga · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/03 | Finley Dyer UTR Pro Moraga · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 16/03 | Thomas Edwards UTR Pro Moraga · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Lukas Palovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Timothee Andriveau UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 02/11 | Bautista Leguizamon UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Fayetteville |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 27/09 | Gabriel Elicha Navas UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/09 | Marcin Andrzejczak UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Harrison Lee UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Noble Renfrow UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Ilan Hediger UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Zechariah Hamrouni UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Botond Kisantal UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisco Jose Perez Esnaola vs Lukas Palovic?
Our model gives 79% to Lukas Palovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.