Tennis · M25 Harlingen · 04/11, 16:00
Prediction: Alec Deckers vs Zsombor Velcz
Team pages: Alec Deckers · Zsombor Velcz
Prediction summary
Winner
Alec Deckers
Zsombor Velcz
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Alec Deckers
6-4 (W-L)
Zsombor Velcz
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alec Deckers
1–0
Zsombor Velcz
(1 last)
- 10 Nov2-1 15-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alec Deckers 1591 · Zsombor Velcz 1475
| Alec Deckers | Zsombor Velcz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alec Deckers (rating 1591 vs 1475).
- Alec Deckers dominates on serve: 11.4 aces and 44.1% break avg.
- Alec Deckers is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Alec Deckers 1–0 Zsombor Velcz (1).
- Note: Alec Deckers makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alec Deckers | Zsombor Velcz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-10.4 | 8.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 11.4 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 78.9% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 44.1% | 31.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Alec Deckers 1 – 0 Zsombor Velcz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alec Deckers 1–0 Zsombor Velcz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/21 M15 Heraklion | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alec Deckers
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Ithaca |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Felix Roussel M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Joshua Adamson M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/09 | Philip Henning M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Jake Fellows M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 17/09 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Zsombor Velcz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 Ithaca |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Liam Krall M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Dominick Mosejczuk M25 Austin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Timo Legout M25 Austin |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Blu Baker M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Matt Kuhar M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Olaf Pieczkowski M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Zachary Viiala M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Orel Kimhi M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Jordan Hasson M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alec Deckers vs Zsombor Velcz?
Our model gives 62% to Alec Deckers, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.