Tennis · M25 Harlingen · 04/11, 16:00
Prediction: Andreja Petrovic vs Aidan Mchugh
Team pages: Andreja Petrovic · Aidan Mchugh
Prediction summary
Winner
Andreja Petrovic
Aidan Mchugh
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Andreja Petrovic
6-4 (W-L)
Aidan Mchugh
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Andreja Petrovic
1–0
Aidan Mchugh
(1 last)
- 22 Nov2-1 17-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andreja Petrovic 1496 · Aidan Mchugh 1536
| Andreja Petrovic | Aidan Mchugh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aidan Mchugh (rating 1496 vs 1536).
- Head-to-head: Andreja Petrovic 1–0 Aidan Mchugh (1).
Statistics
| Andreja Petrovic | Aidan Mchugh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.9 | 11.2-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 59% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Andreja Petrovic 1 – 0 Aidan Mchugh (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Andreja Petrovic 1–0 Aidan Mchugh
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/25 M25 Austin | 2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andreja Petrovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Nikita Filin M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Jan Klimas M15 Ithaca |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 25/09 | Henry Bernet M25 Falun |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Lucas Renard M25 Falun |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Jack Karlsson Winstrand M25 Falun |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Luc Fomba M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Thomas Faurel M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/09 | Axel Garcian M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Aidan Mchugh
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Luca Pow M25 Norman |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer M25 Norman |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/10 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Karl Poling M25 Austin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Martin Riu M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/09 | Alexandre Reco M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andreja Petrovic vs Aidan Mchugh?
Our model gives 64% to Aidan Mchugh, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.