Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 04/11, 09:00
Prediction: Maria Golovina vs Marta Lombardini
Team pages: Maria Golovina · Marta Lombardini
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Golovina
Marta Lombardini
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Golovina
6-4 (W-L)
Marta Lombardini
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Golovina 1556 · Marta Lombardini 1547
| Maria Golovina | Marta Lombardini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maria Golovina | Marta Lombardini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.2 | 11.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 57.2% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Golovina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Daria Egorova W50 Istanbul |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Dunja Maric W50 Istanbul |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/10 | Radka Zelnickova W50 Istanbul |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Elena Micic WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Yuliya Hatouka W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Victoria Milovanova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/09 | Ulyana Hrabavets W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Hania Abouelsaad W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 23/09 | Anja Wildgruber W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Marta Lombardini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Lucie Petruzelova W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Nina Radovanovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Anna Petkovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Tolentino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Viola Turini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Valentina Steiner W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Golovina vs Marta Lombardini?
Our model gives 54% to Marta Lombardini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.