Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 04/11, 09:00
Prediction: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
Team pages: Deborah Chiesa · Sarah Van Emst
Prediction summary
Winner
Deborah Chiesa
Sarah Van Emst
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Deborah Chiesa
6-4 (W-L)
Sarah Van Emst
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deborah Chiesa 1461 · Sarah Van Emst 1510
| Deborah Chiesa | Sarah Van Emst | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sarah Van Emst (rating 1461 vs 1510).
Statistics
| Deborah Chiesa | Sarah Van Emst | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.6 | 10.6-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 59.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deborah Chiesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Julia Grabher WTA Mallorca · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/10 | Lisa Zaar W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Marta Lombardini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 07/10 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/09 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Diana Martynov WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Jana Kovackova W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Eva Bennemann W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Sarah Van Emst
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Thea Marcu W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/10 | Raluca Georgiana Serban WTA Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/10 | Alena Kovackova W50 Burgas |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/10 | Maia Ilinca Burcescu W50 Burgas |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 04/10 | Milana Konovalova W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Ilinca D Amariei W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Petra Konjikusic W50 Plovdiv |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Elizara Yaneva W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Clara Burel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst?
Our model gives 54% to Deborah Chiesa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.