Tennis · UTR Pro Fayetteville · 04/11, 22:30
Prediction: Wesley Cotton vs Nicolas Oliveira
Team pages: Nicolas Oliveira
Prediction summary
Winner
Wesley Cotton
Nicolas Oliveira
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Wesley Cotton
7-3 (W-L)
Nicolas Oliveira
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wesley Cotton 1563 · Nicolas Oliveira 1474
| Wesley Cotton | Nicolas Oliveira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wesley Cotton (rating 1563 vs 1474).
- Wesley Cotton is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Wesley Cotton | Nicolas Oliveira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.3 | 10.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wesley Cotton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 02/11 | Connor Smillie UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/09 | James Quattro UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Lathan Skrobarcek UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Ivo Isqueiro UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Bautista Durrels Rojo UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Tsz-Him Chan UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Tomas Pinho UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Jerry Roddick M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Meethre Barot M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Nicolas Oliveira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Gabriel Elicha Navas UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/10 | Sean Daryabeigi M25 Norman |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Li Tu Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Carlos Maria Zarate M25 Londrina |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Andre Souza M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M15 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Martin Antonio Vergara del Puerto M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/07 | Nicolas Zanellato M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wesley Cotton vs Nicolas Oliveira?
Our model gives 62% to Nicolas Oliveira, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.