Tennis · M15 Trois-Rivieres · 02/11, 21:00
Prediction: Jared Horwood vs Tiago Pires
Team pages: Jared Horwood
See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Winner
Jared Horwood
Tiago Pires
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jared Horwood
3-7 (W-L)
Tiago Pires
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jared Horwood 1457 · Tiago Pires 1552
| Jared Horwood | Tiago Pires | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiago Pires (rating 1457 vs 1552).
- Tiago Pires is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Tiago Pires makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Jared Horwood | Tiago Pires | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11 | 12.9-8.2 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 60.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jared Horwood
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Marcus Walters M25 Sheffield |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Roan Jones M25 Redbridge |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Carl Holder M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Harry Jordan M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Michael Wright M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | James Trotter Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Niels Peter Van Noord M25 Laval |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Jack Davison M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Jan Sebesta M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 23/04 | Brody Nejedly-Krall UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Tiago Pires
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05 | Loan Lestir M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 26/05 | Matthew Rankin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/12 | Stefano D'Agostino UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/11 | Gordon Whitwell UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 23/11 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 22/11 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/11 | Blake Anderson UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/11 | Tomas Quesada Perez UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 19/11 | Zachery Foster UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/11 | Francisco Salmain UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jared Horwood vs Tiago Pires?
Our model gives 72% to Tiago Pires, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.