Tennis · M15 Monastir · 03/11, 11:00
Prediction: Andrea Bacaloni vs Mahmoud Chetouane
Team pages: Andrea Bacaloni · Mahmoud Chetouane
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Bacaloni
Mahmoud Chetouane
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Bacaloni
4-6 (W-L)
Mahmoud Chetouane
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Bacaloni 1482 · Mahmoud Chetouane 1424
| Andrea Bacaloni | Mahmoud Chetouane | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Bacaloni (rating 1482 vs 1424).
- Andrea Bacaloni is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Andrea Bacaloni | Mahmoud Chetouane | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-9.1 | 6.7-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 58.4% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Bacaloni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Leo Deflandre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Pontevedra |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 08/10 | Tanguy Genier M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Javier Munoz Fuster M15 Pontevedra |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Jordan Hasson M15 Baku |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Karol Filar M15 Baku |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Aditya Kothari M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 09/09 | Emile Hudd M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-0 | 12-7 | W |
Mahmoud Chetouane
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Max Geissinger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 09/09 | Lucca Liu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Mathys Domenc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Etienne Donnet M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/06 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Mustapha El Natour M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/12 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Bacaloni vs Mahmoud Chetouane?
Our model gives 73% to Andrea Bacaloni, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.