Tennis · M25 Valencia · 03/11, 10:00

Prediction: Enrique Carrascosa Diaz vs Carles Rojas

Team pages: Enrique Carrascosa Diaz · Carles Rojas

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Enrique Carrascosa Diaz Carles Rojas
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Enrique Carrascosa Diaz 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLWWLLWL
Carles Rojas 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Enrique Carrascosa Diaz 1429 · Carles Rojas 1510
Enrique Carrascosa DiazCarles Rojas
Our model39%61%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carles Rojas (rating 1429 vs 1510).
  • Carles Rojas is in better form: 50% recent wins.

Statistics

Enrique Carrascosa DiazCarles Rojas
Win %20%50%
Win % · Hard 0% (4) –
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.51.1-1
Games (G-P)7.5-10.59.4-9.3
Aces1.30.6
Double faults3.71.3
1st serve %59.4%57.7%
Break %42%58.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Enrique Carrascosa Diaz

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Tim Hammes
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
13/10 Pablo Aunion
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 7-12 L
04/10 Dominic Stephan Stricker
Challenger Villena · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
23/09 Lorenzo Giustino
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
03/09 Carles Hernandez
M15 Madrid
2-0 10-6 W
02/09 Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
M15 Madrid
2-0 12-0 W
25/08 Ivan Gakhov
M25 Oviedo
1-2 14-17 L
15/07 Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Gandia
0-1 1-6 L
02/07 Marcel Zielinski
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
1-2 9-15 L
24/06 Robin Bertrand
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Carles Rojas

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Carles Cordoba
M15 Melilla
0-2 8-13 L
17/09 Matias Reyniak
M15 Melilla
2-0 13-8 W
16/09 Michiel de Krom
M15 Melilla
2-0 12-7 W
15/09 Asier Meneses Perny
M15 Melilla
2-0 12-2 W
08/09 Sander Jong
M25 Gijon
0-2 4-12 L
23/08 Marc Vives Martinez
M15 Cap d'Agde
0-2 8-12 L
12/08 Giannicola Misasi
M15 Targu Jiu
0-2 4-12 L
11/08 Giovanni Ciocca
M15 Targu Jiu
2-0 12-6 W
06/08 Nicolas Robert
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
1-2 8-16 L
05/08 Matei Sucu
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Enrique Carrascosa Diaz vs Carles Rojas?

Our model gives 59% to Enrique Carrascosa Diaz, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.