Tennis · M25 Valencia · 03/11, 10:00
Prediction: Julio Cesar Porras vs Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Team pages: Julio Cesar Porras · Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Julio Cesar Porras
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Julio Cesar Porras
7-3 (W-L)
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julio Cesar Porras 1541 · Maxi Carrascosa Diaz 1446
| Julio Cesar Porras | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julio Cesar Porras (rating 1541 vs 1446).
- Note: Maxi Carrascosa Diaz makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Julio Cesar Porras | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.1 | 8.4-9 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 31.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julio Cesar Porras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Amit Vales M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Alexander Vasilev M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Snir Morag M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Mateo Martinez M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Pontevedra |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Raphael Perot M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Clement Lemire M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Fnu Nidunjianzan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Borna Gojo Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Toby Martin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 17/09 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Pedro Petroski Rocha M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/09 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Toprak Avcibasi M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/08 | Enzo Helguera Casado M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julio Cesar Porras vs Maxi Carrascosa Diaz?
Our model gives 75% to Julio Cesar Porras, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.