Tennis · M25 Valencia · 03/11, 10:00
Prediction: Luka Talan Lopatic vs David Naharro
Team pages: Luka Talan Lopatic · David Naharro
Prediction summary
Winner
Luka Talan Lopatic
David Naharro
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Luka Talan Lopatic
5-5 (W-L)
David Naharro
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Talan Lopatic 1543 · David Naharro 1472
| Luka Talan Lopatic | David Naharro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Talan Lopatic (rating 1543 vs 1472).
Statistics
| Luka Talan Lopatic | David Naharro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-8.9 | 9.7-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Talan Lopatic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Ioannis Xilas M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Ewen Lumsden M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Ammar Elamin M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Amit Vales M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Marcus Walters M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Burgas |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Lilian Marmousez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
David Naharro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Maximo Nagele M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Bor Artnak M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Jan Kobierski M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/06 | Alvaro Jimenez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 21/05 | Jack Kennedy M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Benoit Torcq M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Talan Lopatic vs David Naharro?
Our model gives 65% to Luka Talan Lopatic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.