Tennis · M25 Valencia · 04/11, 10:00
Prediction: Imanol Lopez Morillo vs Miguel Damas
Team pages: Imanol Lopez Morillo · Miguel Damas
Prediction summary
Winner
Imanol Lopez Morillo
Miguel Damas
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Imanol Lopez Morillo
6-4 (W-L)
Miguel Damas
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Imanol Lopez Morillo
0–3
Miguel Damas
(3 last)
- 28 May1-2 10-13L
- 27 Mar0-2 4-12L
- 11 Nov0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Imanol Lopez Morillo 1545 · Miguel Damas 1487
| Imanol Lopez Morillo | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Imanol Lopez Morillo (rating 1545 vs 1487).
- Head-to-head: Imanol Lopez Morillo 0–3 Miguel Damas (3).
- Note: Miguel Damas makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Imanol Lopez Morillo | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.2 | 11.3-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 54.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Imanol Lopez Morillo 0 – 3 Miguel Damas (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Imanol Lopez Morillo 0–3 Miguel Damas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/25 ITF M15 La Nucia | 1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/03/24 M25 Tarragona | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/11/23 ITF M25 Benicarlo | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Imanol Lopez Morillo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Viacheslav Bielinskyi M15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/10 | Alan Wazny M15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 23/10 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg M15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Matei Victor Chelemen M15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/09 | Adrian Oetzbach Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Filip Misolic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Miguel Damas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Max Wiskandt Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Johan Nikles Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Xavi Palomar M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/09 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 01/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Imanol Lopez Morillo vs Miguel Damas?
Our model gives 55% to Miguel Damas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.