Tennis · M25 Valencia · 04/11, 10:00
Prediction: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Yanaki Milev
Team pages: Izan Almazan Valiente · Yanaki Milev
Prediction summary
Winner
Izan Almazan Valiente
Yanaki Milev
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Izan Almazan Valiente
5-5 (W-L)
Yanaki Milev
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Izan Almazan Valiente 1515 · Yanaki Milev 1555
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanaki Milev (rating 1515 vs 1555).
Statistics
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.1 | 12.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Izan Almazan Valiente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Filip Misolic Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/10 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/10 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/10 | Felix Gill Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/09 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Stefan Popovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Yanaki Milev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Filippo Romano Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 19/10 | Maximus Jones Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 11/10 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Izan Almazan Valiente vs Yanaki Milev?
Our model gives 53% to Yanaki Milev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.