Tennis · M25 Valencia · 04/11, 10:00
Prediction: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
Team pages: Samuele Pieri · Sergio Planella Hernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuele Pieri
Sergio Planella Hernandez
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Samuele Pieri
6-4 (W-L)
Sergio Planella Hernandez
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuele Pieri 1538 · Sergio Planella Hernandez 1458
| Samuele Pieri | Sergio Planella Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Samuele Pieri (rating 1538 vs 1458).
- Samuele Pieri is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Sergio Planella Hernandez makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Samuele Pieri | Sergio Planella Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.5 | 9.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 37.4% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuele Pieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/10 | Miguel Damas Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Martin Krumich Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 29/09 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Sergio Planella Hernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Mario Mansilla Diez M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 19/08 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Santander |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/08 | Fernando Fontan Pardo De Santayana M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Ivan Lopez Martos M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Carles Cordoba M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M25 Denia |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 15/06 | Iker Gaztambide Arrastia M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 14/06 | Eneko Gonzalez Huerga M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/06 | Patrick Jozwicki M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez?
Our model gives 77% to Samuele Pieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.