Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 03/11, 06:00

Prediction: Xiaowei Li vs Yuhan Wang

Team pages: Xiaowei Li · Yuhan Wang

Prediction summary
Winner
22% 78%
Xiaowei Li Yuhan Wang
Estimated games
17.3
Recent form · 10 last
Xiaowei Li 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLWLLLW
Yuhan Wang 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Xiaowei Li 1468 · Yuhan Wang 1523
Xiaowei LiYuhan Wang
Our model42%58%
Market6%94%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuhan Wang (rating 1468 vs 1523).

Statistics

Xiaowei LiYuhan Wang
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 38% (8) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.21.2-0.8
Games (G-P)6.9-9.18.7-6.3
Aces01.6
Double faults2.72.2
1st serve %47.9%71.9%
Break %77.4%46.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 17.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Xiaowei Li

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/10 Jiumeng Liu
W35 Qian Daohu
2-0 12-4 W
07/10 Daria Egorova
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
29/09 Ha Eum Lee
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
25/09 Anna Kubareva
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
23/09 Onyu Choi
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
13/09 Jing-Jing Lu
W35 Shenyang
1-2 10-12 L
16/07 JiaYi Wang
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
14/07 Niehua Tian
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 8-4 W
08/07 Ikumi Yamazaki
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
07/07 Junlu Sun
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Yuhan Wang

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/10 Priska Madelyn Nugroho
W35 Kunshan
0-2 2-10 L
27/10 Sohyun Park
W35 Kunshan
2-0 12-7 W
26/10 Junjie Sun
W35 Kunshan
2-0 12-7 W
21/10 Yidi Yang
W35 Qian Daohu
0-2 4-12 L
19/10 Ekaterina Kuznetsova
W35 Qian Daohu
2-0 12-0 W
18/10 Jiayue Pan
W35 Qian Daohu
2-0 12-0 W
09/10 Varvara Panshina
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
08/10 Francesca Franchi
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
07/10 Satima Toregen
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
01/10 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
WTA Jingshan · Hard
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Xiaowei Li vs Yuhan Wang?

Our model gives 78% to Yuhan Wang, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.