Tennis · W15 Antalya · 03/11, 10:30
Prediction: Sara Victoria Balan vs Alesia Breaz
Team pages: Sara Victoria Balan · Alesia Breaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Victoria Balan
Alesia Breaz
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Victoria Balan
4-6 (W-L)
Alesia Breaz
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sara Victoria Balan
1–0
Alesia Breaz
(1 last)
- 25 Jun2-0 14-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Victoria Balan 1513 · Alesia Breaz 1575
| Sara Victoria Balan | Alesia Breaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alesia Breaz (rating 1513 vs 1575).
- Alesia Breaz is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sara Victoria Balan 1–0 Alesia Breaz (1).
Statistics
| Sara Victoria Balan | Alesia Breaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11 | 12.3-8 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 55.6% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 61.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Sara Victoria Balan 1 – 0 Alesia Breaz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sara Victoria Balan 1–0 Alesia Breaz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/26 W15 Galati | 2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Victoria Balan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Sophie Luescher W15 Chisinau |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/10 | Anna-Lena Ebster W15 Chisinau |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Anastasiia Nikolaieva W15 Chisinau |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 06/10 | Sophie Luescher W15 Chisinau |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 26/08 | Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa W15 Brasov |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Carolina Kuhl W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 25/07 | Ilinca D Amariei W15 Cluj Napoca |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Katarina Kujovic W15 Cluj Napoca |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Juliana Singeorzan W15 Cluj Napoca |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Anastasia Safta W15 Cluj Napoca |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Alesia Breaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Didi Bredberg Canizares W15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Isabelle Cherny W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/10 | Lisa Claeys W15 Szekesfehervar |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Maja Pawelska W15 Szekesfehervar |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 07/10 | Viktoria Varga W15 Szekesfehervar |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Giulia Safina Popa W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Linda Sevcikova W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Stefania Bojica W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Victoria Balan vs Alesia Breaz?
Our model gives 66% to Alesia Breaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.