Tennis · W15 Antalya · 12/11, 08:00
Prediction: Sara Victoria Balan vs Valeriia Iushchenko
Team pages: Sara Victoria Balan · Valeriia Iushchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Victoria Balan
Valeriia Iushchenko
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Victoria Balan
3-7 (W-L)
Valeriia Iushchenko
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Victoria Balan 1471 · Valeriia Iushchenko 1568
| Sara Victoria Balan | Valeriia Iushchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valeriia Iushchenko (rating 1471 vs 1568).
- Valeriia Iushchenko is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Sara Victoria Balan | Valeriia Iushchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.1 | 11.3-7.1 |
| Aces | 0 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 51.6% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 61.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Victoria Balan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Alesia Breaz W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Sophie Luescher W15 Chisinau |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/10 | Anna-Lena Ebster W15 Chisinau |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Anastasiia Nikolaieva W15 Chisinau |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 06/10 | Sophie Luescher W15 Chisinau |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 26/08 | Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa W15 Brasov |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Carolina Kuhl W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 25/07 | Ilinca D Amariei W15 Cluj Napoca |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Katarina Kujovic W15 Cluj Napoca |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Valeriia Iushchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Stefania Bojica W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/11 | Jana Bojovic W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 07/11 | Adelina Lachinova W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 06/11 | Selina Atay W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/11 | Daniela Darta Feldmane W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/11 | Nadia Affelt W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/10 | Eva Bennemann W50 Istanbul |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Maria Pankratova W50 Istanbul |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/10 | Zumra Balkan W50 Istanbul |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W15 Astana |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Victoria Balan vs Valeriia Iushchenko?
Our model gives 72% to Valeriia Iushchenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.