Tennis · W15 Antalya · 12/11, 08:00
Prediction: Ilay Yoruk vs Mariia Drobysheva
Team pages: Ilay Yoruk · Mariia Drobysheva
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilay Yoruk
Mariia Drobysheva
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ilay Yoruk
3-7 (W-L)
Mariia Drobysheva
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilay Yoruk 1479 · Mariia Drobysheva 1532
| Ilay Yoruk | Mariia Drobysheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mariia Drobysheva (rating 1479 vs 1532).
- Note: Ilay Yoruk makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Ilay Yoruk | Mariia Drobysheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-11.1 | 10.7-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 57.8% | 55% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilay Yoruk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Anamaria Federica Oana W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/11 | Ada Kumru W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/10 | Kristina Novak W50 Istanbul |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Ipek Oz W50 Stara Zagora |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Ksenia Zaytseva WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Sude Ulueren WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/09 | Samira De Stefano WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Sandra Samir WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Mariia Drobysheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Selina Atay W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Estella Jaeger W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Theresa Stabauer W15 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Sveva Sveva Fumagalli W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 20/08 | Adrienn Nagy W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Ilinca Sagmar W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Lavinia Luciano W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Lavinia Luciano W15 Rogaska Slatina |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Arabella Koller W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Melinda Biro W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilay Yoruk vs Mariia Drobysheva?
Our model gives 51% to Mariia Drobysheva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.