Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 03/11, 09:00
Prediction: Yakumo Motokura vs Julian Messina
Team pages: Julian Messina
Prediction summary
Winner
Yakumo Motokura
Julian Messina
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Yakumo Motokura
7-3 (W-L)
Julian Messina
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yakumo Motokura 1513 · Julian Messina 1381
| Yakumo Motokura | Julian Messina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yakumo Motokura (rating 1513 vs 1381).
- Yakumo Motokura is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Julian Messina makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Yakumo Motokura | Julian Messina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 10% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.3-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.1 | 6.6-11.8 |
| Aces | – | 2.1 |
| Double faults | – | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | – | 59.5% |
| Break % | – | 36.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yakumo Motokura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Tomoki Fujiwara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 01/10 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/09 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/09 | Mao Takada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Ke Hau Hung UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 31/08 | Taiyo Uenoyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Julian Messina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Leonard Tramolay UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/10 | Joseph Patton UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Stijn Paardekooper UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Ludovico Vaccari UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Tsz-Him Chan UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Marc Van Der Merwe UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Tommy Czaplinski UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Ritesh Patil UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Marshall Landry UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Brayden Tallakson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yakumo Motokura vs Julian Messina?
Our model gives 77% to Yakumo Motokura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.