Tennis · W35 Hamamatsu · 03/11, 03:30
Prediction: Sae Noguchi vs Jiangxue Han
Team pages: Sae Noguchi · Jiangxue Han
Prediction summary
Winner
Sae Noguchi
Jiangxue Han
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sae Noguchi
7-3 (W-L)
Jiangxue Han
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sae Noguchi 1573 · Jiangxue Han 1564
| Sae Noguchi | Jiangxue Han | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jiangxue Han makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Sae Noguchi | Jiangxue Han | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-7.9 | 9.3-7.7 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 58.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sae Noguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Ayumi Miyamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/10 | Himari Sato UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Ayumi Miyamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Tsuki Shibutani UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Rito Arima UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Nana Onozawa W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Naho Sato W15 Yeongwol |
1-1 | 7-8 | L |
| 03/09 | Ha Yoon Son W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Gio Jang W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Jiangxue Han
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Sijia Wei W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Ru Xi Wu W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Xi Luo W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/10 | Yufei Ren W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/10 | Marika Jones W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Jiale Zhang W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Junlu Sun W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Kurumi Tamura W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Anri Nagata W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sae Noguchi vs Jiangxue Han?
Our model gives 54% to Sae Noguchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.