Tennis · W35 Hamamatsu · 05/11, 04:30
Prediction: Kanon Sawashiro vs Sae Noguchi
Team pages: Kanon Sawashiro · Sae Noguchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Kanon Sawashiro
Sae Noguchi
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Kanon Sawashiro
4-6 (W-L)
Sae Noguchi
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kanon Sawashiro
0–1
Sae Noguchi
(1 last)
- 17 Apr1-1 7-8L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kanon Sawashiro 1508 · Sae Noguchi 1575
| Kanon Sawashiro | Sae Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sae Noguchi (rating 1508 vs 1575).
- Head-to-head: Kanon Sawashiro 0–1 Sae Noguchi (1).
Statistics
| Kanon Sawashiro | Sae Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.7 | 11.3-8.6 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 52% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 52.5% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Kanon Sawashiro 0 – 1 Sae Noguchi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kanon Sawashiro 0–1 Sae Noguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 W35 Miyazaki | 1-1 | 7-8 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kanon Sawashiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Nagisa Suzuki W35 Hamamatsu |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 17/10 | Claire Liu WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/10 | Naho Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Nagi Hanatani W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Ava Beck W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Olga Danilova W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/09 | Hiromi Abe W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Remika Ohashi W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Sae Noguchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Jiangxue Han W35 Hamamatsu |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Ayumi Miyamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/10 | Himari Sato UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Ayumi Miyamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Tsuki Shibutani UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Rito Arima UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Nana Onozawa W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Naho Sato W15 Yeongwol |
1-1 | 7-8 | L |
| 03/09 | Ha Yoon Son W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kanon Sawashiro vs Sae Noguchi?
Our model gives 54% to Sae Noguchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.