Tennis · W35 Hamamatsu · 05/11, 03:00
Prediction: Tiana Tian Deng vs Nanari Katsumi
Team pages: Tiana Tian Deng · Nanari Katsumi
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiana Tian Deng
Nanari Katsumi
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tiana Tian Deng
5-5 (W-L)
Nanari Katsumi
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiana Tian Deng 1533 · Nanari Katsumi 1492
| Tiana Tian Deng | Nanari Katsumi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiana Tian Deng (rating 1533 vs 1492).
- Note: Tiana Tian Deng makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Tiana Tian Deng | Nanari Katsumi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.3 | 9.6-10 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 55.4% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiana Tian Deng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Meng Yi Chen W35 Hamamatsu |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 29/10 | Sijia Wei W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Rada Zolotareva W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Yanan Hou W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Adithya Karunaratne W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Michika Ozeki W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Jia-Jing Lu W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Yuno Kitahara W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Sera Nishimoto W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Nanari Katsumi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Michika Ozeki W35 Hamamatsu |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/10 | Renee Alame W35 Sydney |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Hikaru Sato W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Laquisa Khan W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/10 | Larisa Arnautovic W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Wozuko Mdlulwa W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Yekaterina Dmitrichenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Julie Myatovic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Mandegar Farzami W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Andre Lukosiute W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiana Tian Deng vs Nanari Katsumi?
Our model gives 69% to Tiana Tian Deng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.