Tennis · W35 Hamamatsu · 03/11, 02:00
Prediction: Nanari Katsumi vs Michika Ozeki
Team pages: Nanari Katsumi · Michika Ozeki
Prediction summary
Winner
Nanari Katsumi
Michika Ozeki
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nanari Katsumi
4-6 (W-L)
Michika Ozeki
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nanari Katsumi 1491 · Michika Ozeki 1479
| Nanari Katsumi | Michika Ozeki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Nanari Katsumi | Michika Ozeki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-9.2 | 9.9-12.3 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 55.8% | 55.1% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nanari Katsumi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Renee Alame W35 Sydney |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Hikaru Sato W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Laquisa Khan W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/10 | Larisa Arnautovic W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Wozuko Mdlulwa W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Yekaterina Dmitrichenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Julie Myatovic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Mandegar Farzami W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Andre Lukosiute W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Anjali Rathi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Michika Ozeki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Irina Balus W75 Saguenay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Tori Kinard W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Kallista Liu W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Sakura Hosogi W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Tiana Tian Deng W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Kurumi Tamura W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Yidi Yang W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/09 | Eri Shimizu W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Eun Ji Lee W15 Yeongwol |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nanari Katsumi vs Michika Ozeki?
Our model gives 51% to Nanari Katsumi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.