Tennis · W35 Hamamatsu · 04/11, 03:00
Prediction: Tiana Tian Deng vs Meng Yi Chen
Team pages: Tiana Tian Deng · Meng Yi Chen
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiana Tian Deng
Meng Yi Chen
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tiana Tian Deng
6-4 (W-L)
Meng Yi Chen
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiana Tian Deng 1533 · Meng Yi Chen 1493
| Tiana Tian Deng | Meng Yi Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiana Tian Deng (rating 1533 vs 1493).
- Note: Tiana Tian Deng makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Tiana Tian Deng | Meng Yi Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-8.9 | 10.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 54.6% |
| Break % | 58% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiana Tian Deng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Sijia Wei W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Rada Zolotareva W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Yanan Hou W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Adithya Karunaratne W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Michika Ozeki W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Jia-Jing Lu W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Yuno Kitahara W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Sera Nishimoto W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Yuna Sugiyama W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Meng Yi Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Yu Jun Lin W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Junhan Zhang W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Xinle Geng W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 26/10 | Alina Tikhonova W35 Kunshan |
2-1 | 10-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Junlu Sun W35 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 14/10 | Sijia Wei W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-9 | L |
| 01/10 | Yingqun Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Yuzuha Negishi W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Ruien Zhang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/09 | Liuyan An W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiana Tian Deng vs Meng Yi Chen?
Our model gives 67% to Tiana Tian Deng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.