Tennis · W35 Hamamatsu · 04/11, 03:00
Prediction: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
Team pages: Haruna Arakawa · Yuzuha Negishi
Prediction summary
Winner
Haruna Arakawa
Yuzuha Negishi
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Haruna Arakawa
5-5 (W-L)
Yuzuha Negishi
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haruna Arakawa 1480 · Yuzuha Negishi 1460
| Haruna Arakawa | Yuzuha Negishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Yuzuha Negishi makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Haruna Arakawa | Yuzuha Negishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-11.1 | 8.3-12.2 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 51.5% | 54.4% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haruna Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | I Wen Wan W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Tori Russell W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Alana Subasic W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Naho Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Rira Kosaka W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Hiromi Abe W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Hee Rae Im W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Riko Kikawada W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Clarissa Blomqvist W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Yuzuha Negishi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Meng Yi Chen W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Anchisa Chanta W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Junlu Sun W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Tori Kinard W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/05 | Yuna Sugiyama W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Ching Laam Lai W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 12/05 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Hwiwon Wi W35 Fukuoka · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi?
Our model gives 73% to Haruna Arakawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.