Tennis · W35 Hamamatsu · 03/11, 03:30
Prediction: Riko Kikawada vs Chia Yi Tsao
Team pages: Riko Kikawada · Chia Yi Tsao
Prediction summary
Winner
Riko Kikawada
Chia Yi Tsao
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Riko Kikawada
6-4 (W-L)
Chia Yi Tsao
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Riko Kikawada
0–1
Chia Yi Tsao
(1 last)
- 28 May1-2 13-20L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riko Kikawada 1543 · Chia Yi Tsao 1475
| Riko Kikawada | Chia Yi Tsao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Riko Kikawada (rating 1543 vs 1475).
- Head-to-head: Riko Kikawada 0–1 Chia Yi Tsao (1).
- Note: Riko Kikawada makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Riko Kikawada | Chia Yi Tsao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.2 | 9.7-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Riko Kikawada 0 – 1 Chia Yi Tsao (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Riko Kikawada 0–1 Chia Yi Tsao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/23 ITF W25 Tokyo | 1-2 | 13-20 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riko Kikawada
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Himari Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Hikaru Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Yuka Hosoki W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Shiho Shibata W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Andre Lukosiute W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 11/09 | Yasmine Mansouri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/09 | Karla Popovic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Julie Myatovic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 04/09 | Clarissa Blomqvist W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Yiru Chen W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
Chia Yi Tsao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Vaidehee Chaudhari W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Monique Barry W35 Sydney |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 23/09 | Eri Shimizu W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Miyu Nakashima W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Hiromi Abe W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Yujin Kim W15 Yeongwol |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 11/09 | Thasaporn Naklo W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Chenting Zhu W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Min Young Choi W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Naho Sato W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riko Kikawada vs Chia Yi Tsao?
Our model gives 63% to Chia Yi Tsao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.