Tennis · W35 Hamamatsu · 04/11, 03:00

Prediction: Hiromi Abe vs Maiko Uchijima

Team pages: Hiromi Abe · Maiko Uchijima

Prediction summary
Winner
82% 18%
Hiromi Abe Maiko Uchijima
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Hiromi Abe 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLWWLLL
Maiko Uchijima 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hiromi Abe 1578 · Maiko Uchijima 1437
Hiromi AbeMaiko Uchijima
Our model69%31%
Market93%7%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hiromi Abe (rating 1578 vs 1437).
  • Hiromi Abe is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Hiromi AbeMaiko Uchijima
Win %70%30%
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.80.8-1.6
Games (G-P)11.2-9.28-11.2
Aces0.40.1
Double faults2.12.5
1st serve %60.7%52.6%
Break %45.7%65.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hiromi Abe

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/10 Ayana Akli
W75 Toronto
1-2 11-16 L
27/10 Emma Dong
W75 Toronto
2-1 13-10 W
24/10 Reese Brantmeier
W75 Saguenay
0-2 4-12 L
23/10 Carolina Kuhl
W75 Saguenay
2-0 12-3 W
21/10 Justina Mikulskyte
W75 Saguenay
2-0 12-7 W
20/10 Michaela Bayerlova
W75 Saguenay
2-1 14-13 W
15/10 Reese Brantmeier
W50 Quebec City
0-2 10-13 L
14/10 Kisa Yoshioka
W50 Quebec City
2-0 12-6 W
27/09 Sakura Hosogi
W50 Nanao
2-0 12-7 W
26/09 Sayaka Ishii
W50 Nanao
2-0 12-5 W

Maiko Uchijima

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/11 Yui Ohwaki
W35 Hamamatsu
2-1 11-9 W
27/10 Sera Nishimoto
W35 Sydney
0-2 6-12 L
20/10 Sera Nishimoto
W35 Sydney
1-2 11-9 L
06/10 I Wen Wan
W35 Wagga Wagga
0-2 3-12 L
30/09 Naho Sato
W35 Wagga Wagga
0-2 5-12 L
29/09 Madison Schwarz
W35 Wagga Wagga
2-0 13-8 W
21/09 Ayumi Miyamoto
W50 Nanao
1-2 11-14 L
25/08 Maria Kalyakina
W15 Tianjin
0-2 5-12 L
19/08 Ru Xi Wu
W15 Tianjin
0-2 5-12 L
18/08 Alisa Vasileva
W15 Tianjin
2-1 10-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hiromi Abe vs Maiko Uchijima?

Our model gives 82% to Hiromi Abe.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.