Tennis · W100 Incheon · 04/11, 03:00
Prediction: Yuki Naito vs Sara Saito
Team pages: Yuki Naito · Sara Saito
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuki Naito
Sara Saito
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Yuki Naito
7-3 (W-L)
Sara Saito
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yuki Naito
0–2
Sara Saito
(2 last)
- 15 Jul1-2 10-13L
- 02 Feb0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuki Naito 1559 · Sara Saito 1511
| Yuki Naito | Sara Saito | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuki Naito (rating 1559 vs 1511).
- Head-to-head: Yuki Naito 0–2 Sara Saito (2).
- Note: Sara Saito makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Yuki Naito | Sara Saito | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.9 | 12.2-13.3 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 57.1% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Yuki Naito 0 – 2 Sara Saito (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yuki Naito 0–2 Sara Saito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/26 W75 Granby | 1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/02/24 ITF W75 Burnie | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuki Naito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Caroline Dolehide W100 New Braunfels |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/10 | Madison Brengle W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/10 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Reese Brantmeier W75 Saguenay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/10 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Ayana Akli W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Clemence Mercier W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Annabelle Xu W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Mimi Xu W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Kallista Liu W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Sara Saito
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Madison Sieg W75 Toronto |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/10 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Toronto |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/10 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Saguenay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Linea Bajraliu W75 Saguenay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/10 | Clervie Ngounoue W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/10 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W50 Quebec City |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Jamilah Snells W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Clemence Mercier W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/09 | Chenting Zhu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuki Naito vs Sara Saito?
Our model gives 58% to Yuki Naito, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.