Tennis · W100 Incheon · 04/11, 03:00

Prediction: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Caroline Werner

Team pages: Zhuoxuan Bai · Caroline Werner

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Zhuoxuan Bai Caroline Werner
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Zhuoxuan Bai 3-7 (W-L)
WLWWLLLLLL
Caroline Werner 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zhuoxuan Bai 1513 · Caroline Werner 1508
Zhuoxuan BaiCaroline Werner
Our model51%49%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Caroline Werner makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Zhuoxuan BaiCaroline Werner
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 67% (6) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.3-1.1
Games (G-P)10.4-10.811.8-9.7
Aces1.61.4
Double faults24.1
1st serve %62.2%63.1%
Break %46.5%40%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zhuoxuan Bai

WWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Daria Zelinskaya
W35 Kunshan
0-2 7-12 L
21/10 Varvara Panshina
W35 Qian Daohu
0-2 2-9 L
09/10 Kyoka Okamura
WTA Suzhou · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
08/10 Emerson Jones
WTA Suzhou · Hard
2-1 14-15 W
06/10 Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Suzhou · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
30/09 Linda Fruhvirtova
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
29/09 JiaYi Wang
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
28/09 Mina Hodzic
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
17/09 Sijia Wei
W35 Shenyang
1-2 16-18 L
15/09 Hong Yi Cody Wong
W35 Shenyang
2-0 13-9 W

Caroline Werner

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Elsa Jacquemot
WTA Courmayeur · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
20/10 Marina Bassols Ribera
W100 Wrexham
0-2 7-12 L
19/10 Ankita Raina
W100 Wrexham
2-1 16-9 W
18/10 Amelie Brooks
W100 Wrexham
2-0 12-6 W
12/10 Anouk Koevermans
WTA Rovereto · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
11/10 Kristina Novak
WTA Rovereto · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
08/10 Anna Blinkova
WTA Samsun · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
07/10 Elvin Egribel
WTA Samsun · Hard
2-0 12-0 W
05/10 Weronika Falkowska
WTA Samsun · Hard
2-1 15-15 W
04/10 Ekaterina Yashina
WTA Samsun · Hard
2-1 15-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zhuoxuan Bai vs Caroline Werner?

Our model gives 58% to Zhuoxuan Bai, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.