Tennis · W100 Incheon · 04/11, 03:00
Prediction: Dayeon Back vs Berfu Cengiz
Team pages: Dayeon Back · Berfu Cengiz
Prediction summary
Winner
Dayeon Back
Berfu Cengiz
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dayeon Back
4-6 (W-L)
Berfu Cengiz
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dayeon Back 1442 · Berfu Cengiz 1560
| Dayeon Back | Berfu Cengiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Berfu Cengiz (rating 1442 vs 1560).
- Berfu Cengiz is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dayeon Back | Berfu Cengiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.2-10.6 | 12.4-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 50.6% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 57.6% | 56.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dayeon Back
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Belle Thompson W35 Sydney |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 28/10 | Elyse Tse W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Himeno Sakatsume Asian Games |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Maya Joint WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Yue Yuan WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/09 | Viktoria Morvayova W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Mei Yamaguchi W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Laima Vladson W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Julie Pastikova W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Berfu Cengiz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Lina Gjorcheska W50 Istanbul |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 22/10 | Mariam Bolkvadze W50 Cherbourg |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 21/10 | Diana Martynov W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Birmingham |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Andrea Burguete Beltran W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/09 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 26/09 | Deniz Dilek WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/09 | Han Shi WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Aysegul Mert WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Martyna Kubka WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dayeon Back vs Berfu Cengiz?
Our model gives 63% to Berfu Cengiz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.