Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 03/11, 05:00
Prediction: Kenta Kawada vs Seiya Nakanishi
Team pages: Kenta Kawada · Seiya Nakanishi
Prediction summary
Winner
Kenta Kawada
Seiya Nakanishi
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kenta Kawada
2-8 (W-L)
Seiya Nakanishi
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kenta Kawada
0–1
Seiya Nakanishi
(1 last)
- 01 Oct1-2 13-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kenta Kawada 1459 · Seiya Nakanishi 1471
| Kenta Kawada | Seiya Nakanishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Kenta Kawada 0–1 Seiya Nakanishi (1).
Statistics
| Kenta Kawada | Seiya Nakanishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.8 | 9.6-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 63% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Kenta Kawada 0 – 1 Seiya Nakanishi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kenta Kawada 0–1 Seiya Nakanishi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/26 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kenta Kawada
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto M15 Yanagawa City |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/10 | Kirill Kistanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/10 | Shotaro Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 27/09 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Masaki Ishikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Seiya Nakanishi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Kosuke Shibano M15 Yanagawa City |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Chikaya Sato M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 03/10 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Stefan Menichella UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Kazushi Idogaki M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Makoto Ochi M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kenta Kawada vs Seiya Nakanishi?
Our model gives 61% to Seiya Nakanishi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.