Tennis · W100 Incheon · 04/11, 03:00
Prediction: Han Shi vs Sakura Hosogi
Team pages: Han Shi · Sakura Hosogi
Prediction summary
Winner
Han Shi
Sakura Hosogi
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Han Shi
4-6 (W-L)
Sakura Hosogi
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Han Shi 1546 · Sakura Hosogi 1495
| Han Shi | Sakura Hosogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Han Shi (rating 1546 vs 1495).
Statistics
| Han Shi | Sakura Hosogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.9 | 10.3-12.7 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 32.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Han Shi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Lilli Tagger WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 28/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/10 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/10 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Alina Korneeva WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Alexandra Eala WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/10 | Peyton Stearns WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Renata Zarazua WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Sakura Hosogi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Katherine Sebov W75 Toronto |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Reese Brantmeier W75 Saguenay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Hina Inoue W75 Saguenay |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
| 27/09 | Hiromi Abe W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Michika Ozeki W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Hikaru Sato W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Rinko Matsuda W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Ena Shibahara W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Anna Kubareva W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Han Shi vs Sakura Hosogi?
Our model gives 73% to Han Shi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.