Tennis · W100 Incheon · 03/11, 03:00
Prediction: JiaYi Wang vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Team pages: JiaYi Wang · Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Prediction summary
Winner
JiaYi Wang
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
JiaYi Wang
3-7 (W-L)
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · JiaYi Wang 1469 · Ekaterina Ovcharenko 1506
| JiaYi Wang | Ekaterina Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ekaterina Ovcharenko makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| JiaYi Wang | Ekaterina Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-11.6 | 10.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 34.3% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JiaYi Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Wushuang Zheng W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Yidi Yang W35 Kunshan |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 27/10 | Mariia Makarova W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Yujia Huang W35 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Zhuoxuan Bai WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Quinn Gleason WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Ruien Zhang W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Anna Kubareva W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 09/09 | Darya Astakhova W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Zhuoxuan Bai W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Hyerin Sim W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/10 | Wushuang Zheng W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Junlu Sun W35 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 16/10 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Junlu Sun W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/10 | Liuyan An W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Fiona Crawley WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 23/08 | Esha Velaga WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JiaYi Wang vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko?
Our model gives 52% to JiaYi Wang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.