Tennis · W100 Incheon · 03/11, 03:00
Prediction: Jia-Jing Lu vs Erika Sema
Team pages: Jia-Jing Lu · Erika Sema
Prediction summary
Winner
Jia-Jing Lu
Erika Sema
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Jia-Jing Lu
7-3 (W-L)
Erika Sema
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jia-Jing Lu
2–1
Erika Sema
(3 last)
- 30 Aug2-1 17-16W
- 23 Mar2-0 13-6W
- 14 Mar0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jia-Jing Lu 1492 · Erika Sema 1505
| Jia-Jing Lu | Erika Sema | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jia-Jing Lu 2–1 Erika Sema (3).
- Note: Jia-Jing Lu makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Erika Sema makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Jia-Jing Lu | Erika Sema | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11 | 11.1-11 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 56.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Jia-Jing Lu 2 – 1 Erika Sema (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jia-Jing Lu 2–1 Erika Sema
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 W75 Tianjin | 2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 23/03/22 ITF W60 Canberra | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/03/18 ITF Women Toyota | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jia-Jing Lu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Wushuang Zheng WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/10 | Zongyu Li WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Alexandra Shubladze WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Tiana Tian Deng W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Cheuk Ying Shek W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Hiromi Abe W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Ena Shibahara W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Eri Shimizu W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Erika Sema
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Eunchae Kim W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/10 | Hikaru Sato W35 Sydney |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 29/10 | Eva Lopez W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Miho Kuramochi W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Mio Mushika W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Jizelle Sibai W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Jia-Jing Lu W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Eunhye Lee W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Maria F Navarro Oliva W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jia-Jing Lu vs Erika Sema?
Our model gives 59% to Jia-Jing Lu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.