Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 02/11, 19:00
Prediction: Aidan Mayo vs Kenta Miyoshi
Team pages: Aidan Mayo · Kenta Miyoshi
Prediction summary
Winner
Aidan Mayo
Kenta Miyoshi
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Aidan Mayo
6-4 (W-L)
Kenta Miyoshi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aidan Mayo 1589 · Kenta Miyoshi 1488
| Aidan Mayo | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aidan Mayo (rating 1589 vs 1488).
- Aidan Mayo dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 42% break avg.
- Aidan Mayo is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Aidan Mayo makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Aidan Mayo | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-10.9 | 12.7-12.7 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 77.5% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 42% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aidan Mayo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Duncan Chan Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/10 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 27/10 | Hynek Barton Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 18-14 | L |
| 22/10 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Colton Smith Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 02/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Colton Smith Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Kenta Miyoshi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Dominick Mosejczuk Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-7 | W |
| 25/10 | Gavin Young Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 20/10 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 18/10 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Lloyd Harris ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 14/09 | Moerani Bouzige Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aidan Mayo vs Kenta Miyoshi?
Our model gives 64% to Aidan Mayo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.