Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 03/11, 04:00
Prediction: Yuga Tashiro vs Ewan Ogura
Team pages: Yuga Tashiro · Ewan Ogura
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuga Tashiro
Ewan Ogura
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Yuga Tashiro
8-2 (W-L)
Ewan Ogura
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuga Tashiro 1556 · Ewan Ogura 1498
| Yuga Tashiro | Ewan Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuga Tashiro (rating 1556 vs 1498).
Statistics
| Yuga Tashiro | Ewan Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-7.5 | 9.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 50.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuga Tashiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Tomoki Fujiwara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 18/10 | Kosuke Shibano UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/10 | Mikal Statham UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Ryusei Hashimoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/10 | Eita Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/10 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Shotaro Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ewan Ogura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Eita Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/02 | Kazuma Kawachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/02 | Taketo Takamisawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 20/02 | Kairi Inoue UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 18/02 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 17/02 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/02 | Yamato Yukawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/01 | Ryusuke Horiuchi UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/01 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/01 | Koki Matsuda UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuga Tashiro vs Ewan Ogura?
Our model gives 70% to Yuga Tashiro, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.