Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 02/11, 12:00
Prediction: Styliani Roussopoulou vs Matilde Paoletti
Team pages: Styliani Roussopoulou · Matilde Paoletti
Prediction summary
Winner
Styliani Roussopoulou
Matilde Paoletti
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Styliani Roussopoulou
1-9 (W-L)
Matilde Paoletti
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Styliani Roussopoulou 1429 · Matilde Paoletti 1527
| Styliani Roussopoulou | Matilde Paoletti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matilde Paoletti (rating 1429 vs 1527).
- Matilde Paoletti is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Styliani Roussopoulou | Matilde Paoletti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 7-11.6 | 12.4-10.4 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 37.5% | 56% |
| Break % | 37% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Styliani Roussopoulou
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Noa Krznaric W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Nikoline Gullacksen UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Given Roach UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Saoirse Breen UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Victoria Borodulina UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Melis Rasim UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Iulia Andreea Ionescu UTR Pro Match Series Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Gabriella Goyins UTR Pro Match Series Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Divna Ratkovic UTR Pro Match Series Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Matilde Paoletti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Ginevra Montebruno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Jessica Pieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 15/10 | Chiara Fornasieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/10 | Eva Bennemann W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Francesca Gandolfi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Maria Toma W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Styliani Roussopoulou vs Matilde Paoletti?
Our model gives 81% to Matilde Paoletti, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.