Tennis · Challenger Villa Maria · 02/11, 15:30
Prediction: Mateo Del Pino vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Team pages: Mateo Del Pino · Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Mateo Del Pino
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mateo Del Pino
2-8 (W-L)
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mateo Del Pino
1–0
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
(1 last)
- 10 Sept2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mateo Del Pino 1438 · Joao Victor Couto Loureiro 1488
| Mateo Del Pino | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joao Victor Couto Loureiro (rating 1438 vs 1488).
- Joao Victor Couto Loureiro dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 46.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Mateo Del Pino 1–0 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro (1).
- Note: Mateo Del Pino makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Mateo Del Pino | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-12.6 | 10.8-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 52.2% | 75.2% |
| Break % | 63.1% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Mateo Del Pino 1 – 0 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mateo Del Pino 1–0 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/24 ITF M15 Cordoba | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mateo Del Pino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 18/10 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Valentino Grippo M15 Trelew |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Felipe De Dios M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Santiago De La Fuente M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Felipe De Dios Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/10 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Joao Pessoa |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/10 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Maceio |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/10 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Mateus Alves M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mateo Del Pino vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro?
Our model gives 64% to Joao Victor Couto Loureiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.